Review / Part II — Higher-Order & Nonlinear / Ch 12

Chaos, Bifurcations, Sensitive Dependence

Ch 12 — Part II — Higher-Order & Nonlinear

Bifurcations are qualitative changes in the solution structure as a parameter varies. Chaos describes deterministic but unpredictable behavior in nonlinear systems.

Saddle-node bifurcation

In \(y' = \mu + y^2\), for \(\mu<0\) there are two equilibria (one stable, one unstable); at \(\mu=0\) they collide; for \(\mu>0\) none exist. The number of equilibria changes as \(\mu\) passes through 0.

Pitchfork bifurcation

\(y' = \mu y - y^3\): one equilibrium \(y=0\) for \(\mu \le 0\), three (\(0\) and \(\pm\sqrt\mu\)) for \(\mu > 0\). The origin switches stability.

Sensitive dependence

Systems like the Lorenz equations exhibit trajectories that diverge exponentially from nearby initial conditions (\(\|\delta(t)\| \sim e^{\Lambda t}\) where \(\Lambda\) is a Lyapunov exponent). Small measurement errors in ICs render long-term prediction impossible even though the system is deterministic.

Practice Problems

Problem 1medium
For \(y' = \mu - y^2\), find equilibria as a function of \(\mu\) and identify the bifurcation value.
Hint
Set \(y^2 = \mu\).
Solution

If \(\mu > 0\), equilibria \(\pm\sqrt\mu\) (one stable, one unstable). At \(\mu=0\), single double root. \(\mu<0\): no real equilibria. Saddle-node at \(\mu=0\).

Answer: Saddle-node at \(\mu = 0.\)

Problem 2medium
For \(y' = \mu y - y^3\), classify the pitchfork.
Hint
Subcritical vs supercritical.
Solution

For \(\mu<0\): only \(y=0\), stable. For \(\mu>0\): \(y=0\) unstable, \(\pm\sqrt\mu\) stable. This is a supercritical pitchfork.

Answer: Supercritical pitchfork at \(\mu=0.\)

Problem 3easy
Explain informally why even a perfectly-known chaotic system has a prediction horizon.
Hint
Lyapunov growth of error.
Solution

Small uncertainties in initial conditions grow exponentially, so after time \(\sim (1/\Lambda)\log(1/\delta_0)\) the initial uncertainty fills the available state space.

Answer: Lyapunov exponent bounds predictability.